We can all agree that City have the title wrapped up bar a highly unlikely total implosion. So who will fill the other 3 CL positions? Even though Arsenal are 8 points behind 4th place at the moment I'm including them. They generally finish the season strongly. All 5 of the candidates have shown signs of weakness recently so it's very debatable which 3 will join City in the CL next season. Her's my assessment for what it is worth:
MAN UNITED - They have spent a lot of money recently and have brought in a class player in Sanchez though judging by his performance against Spurs he may take time to settle and United may take time to get the best out of him. However it is their back 4 that is their weak link. The reason they do not concede many is that they are usually well protected by Matic or Herrera in midfield and time after time they get out of jail thanks to the brilliance of DeGea. Despite a dismal performance against Spurs I think they will make top 4 but an injury to DeGea would really hit them.
SPURS - To me they are the best all round team apart from City. They have a decent keeper, a solid defence, a workmanlke midfield with Eriksen and Ali to give a bit of flair and of course Harry Kane to score their goals. An injury to Kane would deal a major blow to them but he generally stays pretty fit. With a fit Kane they should make the top 4.
ARSENAL - I think this Club is in a bit of trouble. They have been too loyal to Wenger and although capable of outstanding performances they can also be pretty incipid. They have brought in Hendrik (can't spell his second name!) from United and Ambamayang from Dortmund but have lost their main man Sanchez plus Walcot and Giroud. Ambamayang may come good but overall I suspect the loss of Sanchez will outweigh any gains. Where they needed to strengthen was their defence which is poor but they haven't done so. 8 points is a lot to make up and it will be hard for them to catch two of their rivals which they must do to get top 4.
CHELSEA - After last season I thought they were certainties for top 4 and with Morata slipping easily into Costa's role early season it seemed they were possibly well set to challenge City. However, Morata has lost form and they now rely almost totally on Hazard to get them through matches. An injury to him would be a real blow to their chances. I think teams have worked out their 3-5-1-1 formation and they don't look as solid at the back as last season. They do however have an excellent keeper even if he did let one through his legs against Bournemouth. With the likelihood that Conte will be off in the summer there is a danger of the team drifting through the second half of the season though they still have some excellent players and I wouldn't expect many repeats of their Bournemouth disaster.
LIVERPOOL - We all know Liverpool's good and bad areas. Brilliant at times going forward even without Coutinho but not the best at breaking down park the bus teams. A hard working midfield but one that lacks creativity without Coutinho and also one that often fails to give adequate protection to the back 4. A back 4 that tends to panic when things go wrong. A lack of a top class goalkeeper. Van Dijl should improve the back 4 but it could take him time to integrate while Karius must improve on what we have seen of him so far.
If I was to look objectively at the 5 clubs above I would have to say that Liverpool and Arsenal will miss out but a lot depends on injuries. If Liverpool can keep the front 3 fit and Salah and Firmino keep scoring then there is no reason why we should not have Chamion's League football next season.